The unnecessary controversy Trump created for himself in his first 100 days.

What Trump promised?

Trump promised that his leadership would be unpredictable and unconventional. He promised American voters that he would, “shake the establishment to the core”.

He would focus on American trade and bring back industries to the inner cities. He also announced radical new immigrations plans to deport thousands of illegals. And let’s not forget the big wall he had planned to build.

Trump also had big ideas with regards to foreign policy. He often said that his administration would have an “America first” approach, and the US would not get involved in foreign conflicts.

But it seems fair to say that Trump has found that saying it, is one thing, but actually carrying out these plans is a lot harder and complicated than he might have thought.

His inauguration

It started from the get go for the president, when he was enraged at the media after the suggestion, that the crowds at his inauguration where much smaller than in previous ones.

At the time I found this story to be a bit of a wind up by the main stream media. Trump had been going for the news outlets for weeks, but this time Trump fell into their trap.

Trump held a speech in front of the CIA memorial, he commented about his ongoing battle with the “misleading press” and that his inauguration had attracted millions of people.

His irritation was clear and he made the reference of looking out to millions of people a few times in the speech. However photos did emerge showing the clear difference between his inauguration and Obamas.

That should have been the end of it, but then Sean Spicer, one of Trumps political aides held a press conference, where there were cut outs showing the mass crowds Trump had attracted.

He called out the main stream media, and said what they were doing was “shameful and wrong. This was a sign of things to come and he was clearly wrong.

This whole debacle lasted a few days, Trump and his administration could not let it go, and they made this in to a huge controversy.

Trumps travel ban.

This may or may not have been the start Trump would have wanted, but he wasted no time in initiating his plans for America. Only a few days in, he announced his travel ban policy.

It was no surprise that Trump wanted to move fast on this policy, as this was one of the main issues he had campaigned on.It was popular too, striking a cord with voters.

However the execution was messy. It was controversial when he announced it, and the ban sparked major protests around the US.

Lots of people got caught up in the chaos at airports with protesters campaigning for the ban to be overturned immediately.

The order quickly ran into legal problems too. The ban was weakly written and was easily torn apart by the judicial process. It was stopped in its tracks by one judge.

Trump went on the attack, criticising the judiciary on twitter. He said that “Judges had become political” and it was “unbelievable behaviour”.

But the judiciary fought back calling this policy unconstitutional. This policy became very controversial and it showed Trumps failure in trying to get one of his flag-ship policies through.

Trumps inner circle.

Trumps inner circle became shrouded in controversy almost straight away. Michael Flynn, who was Trumps United States National Security Advisor, was forced to quit after 24 days in the job.

When it came out that he had lied to the Vice president and to Trump about meetings he had had with Russian contacts before trump took office.

It was huge embarrassment to Trump and it made his administration look chaotic. But the Russia shadow would continue to cause problems for trump.

Trumps next miss hap was with the accusation that Obama had tapped phones at Trump tower. Trump made this accusation via twitter creating a huge media storm.

No information had come to light backing the president’s claims, but some in Washington believed it was a distracting method to shine light away from another controversy which was brewing with Jeff sessions.

Jeff Sessions was appointed Attorney General of the United States but failed in his confirmation hearings to admit that he had meetings with the Russian ambassador.

At this point in trumps presidency there was this growing narrative that there was something murky with Trump, and his relations ship with Russia, and it seems to have kept growing.

Repealing Obama care

Then things got even worse. Another one of Trumps major campaign promises was the repealing of Obama care. He wanted to replace it with the American care act. It was very popular with voters.

However it became clear that there was no real plan to back up this policy and Trump relied heavily on speaker Paul Ryan who put the legislation together.

They both miss read the mood of republicans on this issue, the party was a lot more fractured making it difficult to get it through.

Trumps military strike on Syria

Trump was always very opposed to getting involved in the Syrian conflict. He often tweeted even before his campaign warning Obama of the dangers of getting the US involved.

But when Bashar al-Assad attacked his own people with chemical weapons on Trumps watch.

 

The president reacted by ordering an attack on the air field where the Syrian planes took off. The missiles damaged the airfield preventing the Syria air force from using runway for some time.

However Trump found himself under fire from many republicans saying he had “gone back on his word”.

Summary

Trump has defiantly got stuck in with his legislative programme and it’s fair to say it’s not been plain sailing.

 

 

Trump has often been referred to as unconventional, acting against the norm. However this approach has got him into some sticky situations.

Despite these mishaps, Trump seems to be still very popular with American votes. Surviving many thing which other president would not of. He is able to push the goal posts further and further apart.

And looking forward, it appears he’s not going to change his way, which leaves me with just one thought.

What is next for Trump?

question-mark-1376773633jUs.jpg

 

 

 

The Repeal Bill already facing challenges?

Yesterday the Repeal bill was published, but it has already run into some difficulties, with the Labour party and the devolved administrations threatening to block it.

The UK is only into the Brexit process by a few weeks, but it looks like the cracks are starting to show for the government, by not having the devolved administrations on side.

Government Ministers are confident about getting it through the commons and have promised an “ongoing intense dialogue” with the devolved administrations.

First Minster of Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon and First Minster of Wales, Carwyn Jones, described the bill as a “naked power-grab” by Westminster that undermined the principles of devolution.

The government is also facing criticism from inside the Labour Party, they claim it gives ministers a free hand over huge parts of policy without being scrutinized by Parliament.

From an outsider, it does appear that the government is being pushed and prodded from all angles, and with the shambolic general election result, this government authority does seem to be wavering.

However the Brexit Secretary David Davis, rejected the criticism and said its “one of the most significant pieces of legislation that has ever passed through Parliament”.

He also made the point that the bill does not give ministers “sweeping powers” to make changes to laws as they are repatriated.

The Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn, with his new found confidence, has said his party would not support the bill in its current form and called for concessions in six key areas.

These comments come after the Labour leader was in Brussels meeting the EU’s chief negotiator Michel Barnier.

During his visit Corbyn appeared to go on the attack. He said, “We will make sure there is full parliamentary scrutiny.”

He also added that “we have a Parliament where the government doesn’t have a majority, we have a country which voted in two ways on Leave or Remain.”

With the bill likely to pass in the commons, the Conservative government are just starting the trek through the two year battle ahead. What seems for certain is the UK becoming more and more divided on the Brexit issue.

 

 

North Korea launches an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM).

Yesterday the United States confirmed that North Korea has successfully launched an ICBM that may be capable of reaching the United States.

The news was broadcasted on North Korea TV. The TV spokes women claimed that North Korea was “a strong nuclear power state” and had “a very powerful ICBM that can strike any place in the world.”

The United States and South Korea, today have held a ballistic missile drill, for a show of unity and strength. The US have said that other military exercises would be held if other missiles were tested.

US Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, has condemned the missile test. He said the test was a “new escalation of the threat” and he said the US would “never accept a nuclear-armed North Korea”.

Reading between the lines, the USA and her allies only have a few options open to them, none of them are good.

This test is a huge development in the North Korea missiles programme, with many outside experts and even the president court off guard.

Mr Trump expressed himself through his favourite online platform, twitter. Where he mocked the North Korea leader Kim Jong Un.

He said “North Korea has just launched another missile. Does this guy have anything better to do with his life?”

But behind this mocking tweet, Mr Trump must be anxious. Many experts believed that North Korea were at least three years away from having this kind of capability.
Mr Trump has often said at his rally’s that “north Korea will never be able to have a nuclear missile.”

If North Korea is much closer to having a nuclear missile, are we edging closer to a major conflict in the region?

Other key players in the region China and Russia, have urged the North to halt its weapons programme. In exchange the US-South Korean military exercises will stop.

With North Korea showing no intention of slowing down their missiles programme, tensions in the region are set to rise.

 

Munity in the cabinet on public sector pay.

The PM and the chancellor have been put under more pressure today, after another senior cabinet minister calls for a rethink on the 1% public sector pay cap.

The foreign secretary, Boris Johnson, has stepped into the fold, adding his criticism of the government’s position on the cap, calling for a change in the policy.

 

 

His intervention could not come at a worse time for the PM and the chancellor.
Over the weekend, Michael Gove spoke on the Andrew Marr show, suggesting that there could be a change in direction in regards to public sector pay.

He said “it is the ‘collective view of Government’ to ‘respect the integrity’ of independent public sector pay review bodies”.

 

 

He then added, “You sometimes have to suppress your own views, I sometimes might suppress mine in order to ensure that we can operate successfully as a collective team.”
It sounds like the collective team may be feeling the pressure on this issue. Are we seeing the beginning of the end for this minority government?

Michael Gove full interview on the Andrew Marr show.

I think it’s fair to say that Theresa Mays leaderships has been a bit rocky over the last few weeks. And with senior cabinet ministers divided on this issue, this is probably the last thing she needs.

She is also under pressure from her back benchers. Heidi Allen, the MP for South Cambridgeshire, suggested that austerity could be “scaled back”, calling for the “rebalancing” of where money is spent.

But with all this political talk about being part of a “collective team” and making the “hard decisions”, it’s easy to forget the people at the heart of the story. Our public sector works.

With nurses using food banks and with greater pressure on our services, the PM and the chancellor are going to have to grapple with what’s fair, and use the limited money in the public finances to better the many.

Queen’s Speech passed.

The minority Conservative government, propped up by the DUP, have managed to pass their first big test in The House of Commons by getting the Queen’s Speech through.

MPs votes saw 323 to 309 in support of the legislative package that was cut back to the bone after the Tories lost their overall majority.

The 1bn pound deal with DUP for their votes was definitely a good investment. However some of the big ticket items from their manifesto were thrown out.

The Tories planned social care policy was shelved, also new grammar schools and the anticipated changes to free school meals were gone.

 

 

But Theresa May can sleep well tonight due to the apparent rescue plan making waves. Speaking to her cabinet a few days after the election result. She said “I got us in this mess and I will get us out of it.”

This moment for the prime minister can’t be over stated. She has been described as a “dead women walking” by some high ranking members of the Conservative Party.

And I’m sure that The Houses of Parliament are full of chatter in the many tea rooms or side corners with potential coos or leadership challengers.

 

 

But today the prime minister on the face of things, has been able to recover some of her statesmanship. Even though it was a rushed Queens’s speech. May has taken, what looks to be her first baby steps into the next long five years.

Sinn Féin and the Democratic Unionist Party in deadlock.

Time is running out.

The Northern Ireland political parties only have a few hours left to find an agreement until the clock runs out at 4 PM today.

If they fail to reach an agreement Northern Ireland could face a period of direct rule from Westminster. Something that has not happened for years.

The two sides have been in long talks throughout the night without reaching a compromise.

What’s stopping the two parties from reaching a deal?

Northern Ireland politics is very different to ours, it’s all based on trust and power sharing. And trust has broken down between the parties since the Renewable Heat Incentive scandal last year.

 

 

The deadlock is over nationalist demands for an Irish language act, which might not sound very controversial to us. But the DUP is proposing a “hybrid model” which would incorporate the Ulster-scots language into the act.

It’s all very complex and hard to get your head round it. Only about ten thousand people actually speak the Irish language, which makes me wonder would it really have that much of an impact on Northern Ireland?

 

 

Really someone should ask the children of Northern Ireland what languages they want to learn.

What I know for sure is when you have a country of over a million people to run, you need to focus on the issues that really are effecting the people you serve.

My five top hammer blows in the tory Campaign.

May calling the election in the first place.

I am not sure how Mrs May came to the conclusion in calling this election. Was it her cabinet egging her on because Labour was doing so badly in the polls? Was it her aids? Or did she call this election because she really was worried about the other parliamentary party’s trying to frustrate the Brexit negotiations.

We will never know. But what is clear to me is in life, if you are seen to have repeatedly said you’re not going to do something, then you do it, in my experience it never goes down well. May must have not got that memo.

The manifesto.

In an election the manifesto is like the holy bible. It’s your official document that lays out your vision for what you want for the country. It’s the chance to engage with the public whilst journalists read and scrutinise. The 88 page launch of the manifesto itself was quite good.

Mays speech was strong and she was able to answer the questions put to her by journalists. The manifesto was not all about Brexit either. There were some really big changes she wanted to tackle like the changes to social care.

But all the way through May claimed that she was the only one who could be trusted with the Brexit talks and she went on about the “mainstream” something or other. She wanted to break the cycle of political tribalism.

This really left me confused for a few reasons. We are having this election because May had failed to bring parliament together by acting in a presidential way.

The UK is about to enter the toughest set of negotiations since World War 2. In my view the country has become more tribal. And when she left the launch there were protesters booing her and chanting. May had a mountain to climb on that one.

Theresa May launches Conservative manifesto film from ITV.

The TV debates.

Out of all the points you will read in this article this point I feel was the arrow through Mays heart. By not turning up to the debates she completely discredited herself and this made her look weak.

If I was one of her aides or trusted ministers in the cabinet, I really would have dragged her on that stage. May had called this election on the expectation that she was a “strong leader” and the “only person who could deliver Brexit” but she could not even turn up and debate against the potential coalition of chaos.

The social care cap malarkey.

The disappearance act with the TV debates may have been the arrow through her heart but the social care policy was a hammer blow to the head. When I read this policy I was left feeling confused about how much you would have to pay or who would be effected.

And then Mays U-turn, which wasn’t actually a U-turn about the cap, left me even more baffled. I spoke to some of my friends who were conservative campaigners and they said “this policy is going down like a cold bucket of sick on the door step.”

Mays U-turn.

Mays Performance of TV interviews.

Mays started this campaign as a strong and stable leader but she finished looking like a piece of weak and wobbly jelly and a huge part of this was down to her TV persona.

Being the leader of a political party in a campaign must be a tough gig and the British public expects someone who is, well, not like the rest. This might be unfair of us but May walked into this trap from the get go.

She decided to focus this campaign on her leadership not her policies or her party. And the hard truth is, she just couldn’t hack it.

I remember how robotic she came across in the Andrew Neil interviews. How flustered she look at the Wrexham speech. And let’s not forget her one show appearance where there was no reference to her vision or policy. Too many wasted opportunities to get through to the people.

Andrew Neil interview

 

 

DUP and Conservatives finally agree a deal.

It’s been a long two weeks since the shocking election result and I’m sure that the Tory’s are glad they now have the numbers in the House of Commons to move forward. But have the Tory’s had to pay a big price for this cooperation. What are the implications for us?

 

The key things which were agreed.

-The 10 DUP MPs have agreed to back the Tories in key Commons votes.
– Northern Ireland will receive £1bn extra funding over the next two years.
– The triple lock guarantees of at least a 2.5% rise in the state pension each year.
– Winter fuel payments will not be means tested and payments will be kept throughout the UK.

My first thoughts about this deal.

I feel that May has just played another power play or her final hand. Time will tell. But a £1bn pound deal is a very high price for just ten votes. She should have tried a buy one get one free approach. But I imagine that the Democratic unionist party are jumping for joy.

Leader of the DUP Mrs Foster said “”This agreement will operate to deliver a stable government in the United Kingdom’s national interest at this vital time,” But all this deal has shown me is that you can buy off the democratic process by buying votes.

Con Overall Majority

In the weeks ahead I’m sure that the Conservatives are going to have to answer awkward questions about where this money is coming from. Maybe the Tory’s have their own money tree. Who knows? What I know for sure is other nations will be asking for a better settlement from Westminster. Has May in her attempts of clinging onto power plunged the nations of the UK against each other? If the 10 DUP MPs are worth 1bn how much are the SNPs MPs worth?

I’m sure that the British press will be doing a lot of digging, can the DUP MPs hold up against this more intense scrutiny. Doubters may be anticipating cracks to start appearing between this new union, we will have to wait and see.

What’s the offer for EU citizens?

Since the Brexit vote last year millions of EU citizens living in the UK have been living with uncertainty, with the prospect of not having their rights guaranteed.

 

 

Yesterday talks finally got under way, giving EU citizens and the estimated 1.million Britons living across the continent some detail about their status.

The 3 million EU citizens living in the UK will be able to settle here giving them a “settled status”, allowing them to have similar rights that they enjoy now, as long as they have been here for 5 years.

PM addressing Parliament on EU citizens rights.

But here is where it gets a bit murky. There is an unspecified cut-off date where citizens who have been here for under five years can go on a path to “settled status”.

Confused yet? This means that those people might have to have a form of identity card.
EU citizens have moved from being unsure about their status to becoming gambling chips in the Tories game of poker with the other 27 countries of the EU.

 

 

This deal already might be in some trouble. Chief negotiator for the EU Michel Barnier has tweeted that “More ambition, clarity and guarantees are needed than in today’s UK position.”

Mr Barnier wants EU citizens’ rights to be guaranteed by EU law, this would mean the European court of justice over seeing this, which is a big no-no for Mrs May.

 

Although a better relationship seems to be growing between the two with Theresa May saying “This issue is a top priority”, or does this simply suggest with Mays authority damaged, the EU is revelling in walking all over her, respectfully of course.

The winners look like losers and the losers look like winners.

If you have been watching the TV news coverage of the election results and the political fallout, you might have thought that the Labour Party gained the most seats and that Corbyn pulled off the most surprising election victory of recent times. But you would be wrong. You might ask the question then, why does the Conservative party look so bewildered.

Let’s rewind the clock back 6 weeks to the 18th of April when the Prime minister surprised everybody and called a snap election despite repeatedly saying she would not. Watching her statement live, it became clear to me that she would be fighting this election on one key issue. Yes you guessed it. Brexit.

Brexit

Throughout her statement she called for the British public to “strengthen her hand” and that we face a stark choice between a “strong and stable Conservative government” compared to “the weak leadership of Jeremy Corbyn and a coalition of chaos”. There was no reference to domestic issues at all.

The prime minster blamed the other Westminster parties for “political game playing” and said they were deliberately trying to frustrate the Brexit process. I’m sure that the huge 20 point lead in many of the polls predicting a Conservative landslide had nothing to do with her calling this election.

Polling graphHowever there was one thing that the polls, the Conservatives and probably many Labour MPs at the time were not expecting. Jeremy Corbyn running a very good campaign and Theresa May appearing weak and wobbly, leading one of the worst Conservative Campaigns potentially ever. George Osborne who was the previous chancellor and now editor of the Evening Standard said on the Andrew Marr show that Mrs May, “was a dead women walking”. Not a vote of confidence there then.

Jeremy Corbyn flipped the cards and changed the whole focus of this election campaign on domestic issues, focusing on NHS, nationalisation programmes and free tuition fees. The famous money tree promised lots of high ticket items. It seemed to strike a chord with the people.

But that’s the point. This election was so different to any other election we have ever had because the pollsters and the main stream media had created this expectation of a land slide victory. And this is why May appears to have lost this election.
May was expecting to gain 50-100 seats however she stands before us as a weakened and humiliated Prime minister by a net loss of 13 seats for the Conservative, angering many of her own MPs.

When the result became clear on election night it left many people shocked. May and Corbyn had switched places, with many Conservative MPs calling Mays leadership into question. MP Anna Soubry said at her count that Mrs May is ‘in a very difficult place’ following a ‘dreadful campaign’. And that she should “reconsider her position”

Post-election Mrs May has ended up with potentially having to create a government being supported by the DUP. And her own leadership has been called in to question where as Corbyn has come out looking victorious, addressing huge crowds and growing in confidence. How long can May now last.